Thursday, July 30, 2009

Jeff Francoeur By Count

Ron Darling apparently tried to compliment new Met Jeff Francoeur during tonight’s game by mentioning his .337 career batting average when he puts the first pitch of an at bat into play.  Here is Jeff Francoeur’s career average when he puts a ball into play broken down by the count, along with the 2009 National League averages in those situations.

Count Francoeur AVG League AVG
First Pitch .337 .325
1-0 .323 .340
2-0 .325 .374
3-0 .500 (in only 2 AB) .436
0-1 .299 .315
1-1 .351 .327
2-1 .410 .333
3-1 .373 .333
0-2 .134 .147
1-2 .159 .166
2-2 .223 .189
3-2 .188 .236

A few points:

  • Darling’s point about Francoeur swinging at the first pitch is not impressive.  His average in that situation is not significantly different than the league average and it fails to account for all of the times he swings AND MISSES.  His subsequent average (after reaching an 0-1 count) is .231, so that needs to be factored in. The league average after reaching an 0-1 count is .229. This is why swinging at the first pitch is a bad idea
  • Overall, Francoeur’s career batting average for each possible count doesn’t appear to vary significantly from the league average.
  • That is to say that Francoeur does not appear to derive any benefit (more than the average NL hitter) in swinging at the first pitch. In fact, just like most major leaguers, he flourishes when ahead in the count and struggles when behind in the count.
  • The fact that Francoeur hits well when he gets ahead in the count is yet another argument against his overly-aggressive approach at the plate.

Sorry…. despite the run production he’s brought to the Mets (16 RBI in 14 games), I’m still not a believer.  This is a guy who has just ONE walk in those 16 games, and that was an intentional walk (right before Tatis’ grand slam earlier this week).  In fact, that was the only time Francoeur has seen a 3-0 count as a Met.  Did I mention that I’m still not a believer in Jeff Francoeur.  Because I’m not (just so you know).

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Monday, July 27, 2009

Pinch Hit Grand Slams

Its nice that on a day where the Mets’ dysfunction as a franchise reached a new low, they put together a nice, practically inspiring, victory over the Rockies, capped by Fernando Tatis’ go-ahead pinch hit grand slam in the 8th inning.

Here’s a list of  the Mets’ 7 other pinch hit grand slams in their history.  Its interesting to see how rare these are and how memorable some of them were:

  • Hank Taylor - 8/17/66 (In the 4th inning pinch hitting for Ed Kranepool)
  • Steve Henderson4/9/78
  • Tim Tuefel6/10/86 (the Mets only walk-off pinch hit grand slam)
  • Joe Orsulak5/3/94 (gave the Mets the lead in the 7th, Franco blew it in the 9th – here’s the New York Times article on the game)
  • Todd Hundley5/4/95 (hit in the top of the 10th in Montreal, here’s the Times article on the game)
  • Benny Agbayani3/30/00 (won game #2 of that season, played in Japan, here’s the Times’ article)
  • Todd Pratt5/30/00 (last one before tonight)

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